Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Who’s NOT Going Home in Broadway Week?

Well, Broadway Week seemed to be full of people getting on each others’ nerves.

The practice segments showed, among other things, Lacey getting forceful with Chaz, Cheryl and Rob shouting, Ricki wanting to give up and Maks telling Hope he’s not sure she can do it. All artfully edited by the producers I’m sure.

Plus we had Maks and Len going at each other, and Chaz being (rightfully) offended that he was referred to as a penguin.

So what does this mean in terms of who is on the block tonight?

The judges’ scores are added to the viewers’; here are the shares of the judges’ scores:



Score
Share
Differential
Ricki and Derek
29
17.5%
6.02%
JR and Karina
29
17.5%
6.02%
Nancy and Tristan
24
14.5%
3.01%
David and Kym
23
13.9%
2.41%
Rob and Cheryl
22
13.3%
1.81%
Hope and Maks
20
12.0%
0.60%
Chaz and Lacey
19
11.4%
0.00%


The differential is what the lowest scoring couple need to make up (Chaz and Lacey in this case.)

Definitely Safe

JR/Karina and Ricki/Derek are significantly ahead of the pack.

Probably Safe

The biggest differential to be overcome this season was when Chaz made up at least 2.5 percentage points over Kristin in week 3, so Nancy and Tristan are probably safe.

I’m going out on a limb and also saying that Hope and Maks are probably safe. According to DialIdol they had some busy tone on their phone number plus controversy tends to be beneficial. If you agree with Maks and think Len is an ass then you can vote for Maks. But if you think Len has it right you can’t actually vote against Maks – you can only vote for one of the six others. This means there is an overall positive effect, assuming there are lots of people who agree with Maks (which seems to be the case on Twitter.)

In Jeopardy

So that leaves Chaz/Lacey, Rob/Cheryl and David/Kym. Chaz had the lowest score but who knows what might happen?

Who do you think is going home?

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