If you do the math, Ralph and Karina are in a bit of a hole when it comes to share of the judges' vote:
Chelsea/Mark 73 31.1%
Hines/Kym 60 25.5%
Kirstie/Maks 54 23.0%
Ralph/Karina 48 20.4%
But wait! Last week Ralph was at the bottom of the judges' scoreboard because he was hurt and couldn't move too well - and he wasn't eliminated!
I think it's different this week. First off, Chelsea and Mark are so far ahead that they're a lock to be in the final. It would be beyond stunning if they were eliminated.
Secondly, due to Kym's brush with a broken neck there will be a sympathy vote for the couple. This was something Ralph enjoyed last week when he was injured.
So that means it's between Ralph and Kirstie. I had some comments about people getting busy tone when they voted for Hines or Kirstie, so I headed over to dialidol.com.
Dialidol.com came out of American idol. It's a little program that runs on a PC and uses the phone to vote a number of times for a particular contestant. It takes the data and assumes that the contestant with the highest percentage of busy tone has the most votes. It's not that good at predicting DWTS because the sample size is small and you have the judges' votes as well. However, if you look at the raw data Hines and Kirstie had a high percentage of busy tones (18% and 16% respectively), Ralph and Chelsea had very low percentages (1% and 4%).
So, I have to think Ralph will be eliminated. Who do you think will go?